Simulation-based Bayesian inference for epidemic models

نویسندگان
چکیده

برای دانلود رایگان متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Simulation-based Bayesian inference for epidemic models

A powerful and flexible method for fitting dynamic models to missing and censored data is to use the Bayesian paradigm via data-augmented Markov chain Monte Carlo (DA-MCMC). This samples from the joint posterior for the parameters and missing data, but requires high memory overheads for large-scale systems. In addition, designing efficient proposal distributions for the missing data is typicall...

متن کامل

Bayesian Inference for Spatial Beta Generalized Linear Mixed Models

In some applications, the response variable assumes values in the unit interval. The standard linear regression model is not appropriate for modelling this type of data because the normality assumption is not met. Alternatively, the beta regression model has been introduced to analyze such observations. A beta distribution represents a flexible density family on (0, 1) interval that covers symm...

متن کامل

Bayesian Inference for Logistic Regression Models using Sequential Posterior Simulation

The logistic specification has been used extensively in non-Bayesian statistics to model the dependence of discrete outcomes on the values of specified covariates. Because the likelihood function is globally weakly concave estimation by maximum likelihood is generally straightforward even in commonly arising applications with scores or hundreds of parameters. In contrast Bayesian inference has ...

متن کامل

Inference for deterministic simulation models: The Bayesian melding approach

BiometricsFrench SGroup consensus probability distributions a critical survey In Bayesian Statisticseds J M Bernardo J O Berger A P Dawid and A F M Smith ppAmsterdamNorth HollandGenest CA characterization theorem for externally Bayesian groups Ann Statist Genest C McConway K J and Schervish M JCharacterization of externally Bayesianpooling operators Ann S...

متن کامل

A tutorial introduction to Bayesian inference for stochastic epidemic models using Approximate Bayesian Computation.

Likelihood-based inference for disease outbreak data can be very challenging due to the inherent dependence of the data and the fact that they are usually incomplete. In this paper we review recent Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) methods for the analysis of such data by fitting to them stochastic epidemic models without having to calculate the likelihood of the observed data. We consider...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Computational Statistics & Data Analysis

سال: 2014

ISSN: 0167-9473

DOI: 10.1016/j.csda.2012.12.012